Information Operations: Amplification of Vaccine Harm Narratives Using Alleged Leaked Official Communications

FIELD NOTE — DRAFT — AUGUST 10, 2026 CLASSIFICATION: OPEN SOURCE // DRAFT (NOT PUBLISHED) SOURCE: https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2086886438235201765/video/1 NARRATIVE THREAT LEVEL: LOW

BLUF. The circulation of alleged leaked official communications regarding vaccine harms likely represents a low-level information operation aimed at degrading public trust in US health institutions.

Observed Item

Information Operations: Amplification of Vaccine Harm Narratives Using Alleged Leaked Official Communications

STATUS: EMERGING · CONFIDENCE: MODERATE · ITEMS: 1 · MAX RISK: 0 · AVG RISK: 0 · PRIMARY COUNTRY: United States

Observation. An excerpt from social media platform X features an unidentified individual claiming to possess leaked text messages from former and current US health officials, including Anthony Fauci, Vivek Murthy, and Rochelle Walensky. The speaker asserts these alleged messages discuss COVID-19 vaccines causing cytokine storms and increased miscarriages. Additionally, the individual mathematically reinterprets data from a 2021 New England Journal of Medicine study to claim an 82 percent miscarriage rate among women vaccinated in the first or second trimester.

Assessment. This framing likely reflects a deliberate effort to delegitimize federal health institutions by synthesizing allegedly leaked private communications with manipulated statistical interpretations. The specific mathematical reframing of the NEJM study is consistent with established disinformation tactics designed to manufacture alarming health statistics by altering denominator values. It is assessed with moderate confidence that the primary objective is to erode trust in public health organizations by portraying officials as possessing covert knowledge of severe vaccine harms.

Strategic significance. The continuous adaptation of legacy COVID-19 data combined with fabricated or out-of-context leaks presents an ongoing challenge to health security and institutional trust. Such narratives likely degrade baseline public compliance with future federal health directives.

PMESII dimensions engaged:

• Information — The narrative leverages the alleged possession and impending release of unauthorized private text messages to shape public perception regarding vaccine safety.
• Social — The focus on severe reproductive harm, specifically miscarriages, targets vulnerable demographics and likely influences broader societal health behaviors and risk assessments.

ASCOPE exposure:

• Organizations — The narrative explicitly targets federal health entities, implying the CDC and associated bodies suppressed critical safety data.
• People — Specific public health officials, namely Anthony Fauci, Vivek Murthy, and Rochelle Walensky, are directly named as participants in the alleged communications.

Key Judgments

1. We assess with moderate confidence that the amplification of these narratives is designed to exploit pre-existing domestic polarization regarding public health mandates.
2. The use of alleged official leaks is consistent with established disinformation tactics intended to manufacture authenticity and circumvent standard content moderation.
3. Current metrics indicate low immediate escalation risk, suggesting the campaign has not yet achieved significant mainstream resonance or prompted physical security threats.

What to Watch (Next 24–48h)

• Emergence of the alleged leaked documents on mainstream domestic media platforms or endorsement by prominent political figures.
• Indicators of coordinated inauthentic behavior amplifying the leaks across alternative social media networks over the next 24 to 48 hours.
• Statements from US public health officials or cybersecurity agencies verifying or refuting the authenticity of the communications.

Raw Transcript

Transcript source: https://x.com/EricLDaugh/status/2086886438235201765/video/1 · Language: en · Duration: 146s · Provider: supadata

• [0:00–0:05] Carriage and the first trimester. What do you make of what we're learning here? Well,
• [0:05–0:09] first of all, thanks for having me on and thanks for covering this. So we
• [0:09–0:15] obviously have his phone. We've downloaded it. And we're going to carefully go through this
• [0:15–0:21] to protect people's personal information. But I thought we had to release this right away
• [0:21–0:26] because this is, I think, major news. Anthony Fauci in a text exchange with
• [0:26–0:31] Vivek Murthy. and Rochelle Walensky, the
• [0:31–0:37] CDC director. They're talking about the COVID injection and
• [0:37–0:42] having pregnant women taken. And in the middle of that text exchange, I think the
• [0:42–0:47] key text is where Anthony Fauci is talking about the fact that the second dose
• [0:47–0:53] creates a greater cytokine storm additional information that could have
• [0:53–0:58] an impact on increased miscarriages in the first trimester. Now, to add to that,
• [0:59–1:04] in June of 2021, Tom Sheeran -Bakuro, a bunch of other people, published
• [1:04–1:10] a grossly misleading study in the New England Journal of Medicine where they were looking
• [1:10–1:15] at 827 confirmed pregnancies. There were 104
• [1:15–1:20] miscarriages. They call them spontaneous abortions, but we refer to those as miscarriages.
• [1:20–1:26] 104 divided by 827. would imply about a 12 .6 % miscarriage rate,
• [1:26–1:31] which is quite high for confirmed pregnancies. I talked to Dr. James Thorpe, he says
• [1:31–1:36] generally around 3%, so it's already four times as high, but within the realm of
• [1:36–1:41] confirmed and unconfirmed pregnancies, okay? So they put this study out there, but what they
• [1:41–1:46] don't reveal, they do, but they don't account for it, is that 700 of those
• [1:46–1:52] 827 women took the injection. in their third trimester. Now
• [1:52–1:58] spontaneous abortions occurred before 20 weeks. Third trimester starts after 20, so the relevant
• [1:58–2:04] denominator would have been 127. So you would have had 124 miscarriages
• [2:04–2:09] out of 127 of the women who got the injection in the first or second
• [2:09–2:14] trimesters. That's an 82%, 82 %
• [2:14–2:19] miscarriage rate. That is shocking news.
• [2:20–2:25] That's been known for quite some time, but again, the federal health agencies weren't highlighting
• [2:25–2:26] that.